The Six Pack: Texas A&M vs. Miami, Penn State vs.Auburn among top football picks in Week Three

It wasn’t the perfect begin to The Six Pack. After consuming water on the primary Saturday, we had a shedding file in Week 2. Nonetheless, it wasn’t all unhealthy; The Kansas Jayhawks got here handy us our first week-locking winner of the 12 months, so we have been happy. Once you’re in hassle, you’ll be able to all the time depend on a powerful soccer heart in Kansas.

After all, whereas I say that with my tongue firmly connected to the within of my cheek, there may be lots of reality in it. Groups like Kansas are sometimes undervalued out there, particularly early within the season when bookmakers nonetheless give lots of respect to previous efficiency and never sufficient for what we’re seeing now.

I am wanting ahead to utilizing that in a couple of of my picks this week. All Odds through Caesars Sportsbook.

Matches of the week

Featured sport | Texas A&M Aegis vs. Miami Hurricanes (Florida)

No. 13 Miami at No. 24 Texas A&M: Jimbo Fisher could wish to ship a thanks notice to Kirk Ferentz. Had it not been for the comedic lack of Iowa’s crime, extra individuals would have been speaking about how anemic the Aggies crime is. We’re speaking a couple of Texas A&M offense who solely managed 186 yards and 14 factors in opposition to the Appalachian State protection who misplaced 567 yards and 63 factors in opposition to North Carolina only a week in the past. Until the Mountaineers import a wholly new protection within the week between these video games, the Aggies have extra to fret about than upset. If this crime didn’t determine issues out, there could be lots of losses sooner or later.

Certainly one of them might be this weekend in opposition to Miami. The Hurricanes have appeared phenomenal in assault to date, however given the competitors, it is arduous to place a lot religion within the numbers. So we have now two offenses that we do not know a lot about in opposition to two defenses that give rather more motive to belief them. There’s an opportunity the Hurricanes will go to Faculty Station and begin getting upset, however there’s additionally an opportunity that the Aggies will do their work collectively and bounce again from a poor efficiency. No matter occurs, I do not anticipate many factors to be scored. Texas A&M 23, Miami 20 | beneath 44.5

Featured sport | Auburn Tigers vs Penn State Nittany Lions

No. 22 Pennsylvania in Auburn: Within the first week, I traveled Utah to Gainesville to take over Florida as my most popular route. We picked Florida because the shock of the week in The Six Pack for a easy motive: it’s best to most likely guess the SEC staff each time you may get it as a house underdog in a sport with out conferences. Historical past exhibits that the convention did effectively in video games with out conferences. Effectively, it is no shock that Florida beat Utah, and now right here we’re two weeks later with Pennsylvania touring to Auburn as a 3-point favourite.

To be clear, I do not assume Pennsylvania is nearly as good as Utah, and I do not assume Auburn is nearly as good as Florida. That does not imply I am prepared to belief a Penn State staff that appeared shaky in a street sport in opposition to Purdue in Week 0 for a straightforward time at Jordan Hare. I do not see both of those groups with the ability to diverge that a lot from the opposite, so give me Auburn and the factors. Auburn 24, Pennsylvania 23 | Auburn +3

week lock

Featured sport | Houston Cougars vs Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas in Houston: We’re going again to Kansas effectively, child! The Jayhawks are a staff that has by no means been seen within the energy scores to date. That was the case final week, and it’s the case once more this week in opposition to Houston. It is comprehensible, as Houston is without doubt one of the greatest group 5 groups within the nation and Kansas is, effectively, Kansas. Do not be fooled although. This may be a nightmare match for the Cougars.

Kansas has one of the crucial explosive crimes within the nation, rating tenth with 17.5%. Its explosive sprint fee of 16.7% ranks sixth. Houston struggled to get previous the UTSA within the opening sport and misplaced to Texas Tech final week primarily as a result of he could not cease the run. The Cougars protection ranks 117th nationally in go fee versus runs and 104th in fee of explosive runs allowed. I do not know if the Jayhawks will get out of the turbulent manner for the second week in a row, however they’re a really powerful sport for this Houston protection and it ought to make this uncomfortable. Houston 35, KS 31 | KS +9

beneath the week

Featured sport | Iowa Hawkeyes vs Nevada Wolfpack

Nevada in Iowa: Ought to we guess blindly on Iowa till confirmed in any other case? I believe so! I already talked about how terrible Iowa is, however to get the purpose house with fantastical numbers, the Hawkeyes offense ranks 130 (out of 131) in go fee, 131 factors per possession, 131 in EPA per sport, and 1,000,000 in sentiment. . Having stated that, I anticipate to play a lot better this week, however solely as a result of Nevada is just not sturdy defensively. Although, who is aware of? Taking part in Iowa would possibly repair Nevada’s defensive numbers.

Anyway, the rationale I really like this is not simply that Iowa’s crime is horrific. Nevada’s offensive is horrible as effectively, and nonetheless goes in opposition to Iowa’s nonetheless good protection. All these cool stats you talked about with the Iowa crime? Nevada is not rated higher in any of them, and the nice components all stem from final week’s 41 factors in opposition to the Incarnate Phrase (which scored 55, by the best way). Iowa 27, Nevada 3 | Beneath 39 years outdated

Nation Champion for this week

Featured sport | Virginia Cavaliers vs Outdated Dominion Monarchs

Outdated Dominion in Virginia: Virginia is one other staff that has by no means seen it earlier than within the scores, however the market appears to be like like it’s. Keep in mind final season when the Cavaliers scored 34.6 factors per sport and Brennan Armstrong was on the verge of setting all ACC passing data? This crime now not exists. Robert Anna, Virginia’s offensive coordinator final 12 months, took this offense with him to Syracuse. None of which means Tony Elliott and Des Kitchens will not get it, however the Cleveland staff is struggling arduous.

Virginia ranks 114 in management scores, 105 in go fee, and 110 within the EPA at each second. Her offensive line is an enormous motive. She could not shield Armstrong (UVA ranks 131st in allowable strain) or punch holes in her operating sport. I do not assume Outdated Dominion succeeds right here prefer it did in opposition to Virginia Tech to change into Virginia State Champion, however I am unable to belief a nasty offense like Virginia’s offense to cowl that unfold now. Virginia 27, Outdated Dominion 20 | Outdated Dominion +9

upset of the week

Featured sport | Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Vanderbilt in northern Illinois: Keep in mind how I used to be saying to take the SEC staff as a home canine in a sport with out conferences? Given my emotions about it, how do you assume I really feel in regards to the SEC staff being underdog for the MAC staff? I would not argue that Vanderbilt is a powerful firm just because it is on the SEC, but it surely’s a greater staff than the market realizes. The crime, with Mike Wright at QB, is authorized. I do not know the Commodores are going to place 63 factors on the Husky like they did in Hawaii, however that is extra due to the NIU’s manner of taking part in than about defending it.

The husky strikes slowly in assault and limits his possessions. Because of this they take part in so many single-score video games. Nonetheless, when the protection is on the sphere, it hasn’t carried out a great job of stopping groups. The Husky is ranked 93rd in defensive success fee and 119th in factors allowed per lead. Don’t take into consideration this. Vanderbilt 31, Northern Illinois 23 | (+115) Vanderbilt

Matches of the week

0-2

1-4

-3.4

week lock

1-0

1-2

-1.2

Inclusive

2-4

7-9

-2.32

What faculty soccer selections are you able to make with confidence in Week 3, and which of them can be difficult? Go to SportsLine to see which groups will win and canopy the distinction – all from a confirmed laptop mannequin that has earned near $3,400 over the previous six seasons – and discover out.